Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)

Referee: Paszkiewicz K. (Pol)


	Skra Częstochowa		Stal Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.8
	3.8	3.4	1.83
	3.7	3.65	1.85
	3.8	3.55	1.83
	3.93	3.91	1.86
	3.8	3.4	1.8
	4	3.82	1.79
	3.85	3.6	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.7)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	1.83 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
24.1%

Draw
25.5%

Stal Rzeszów
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.9%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Skra Częstochowa - Stal Rzeszów Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Rzeszów: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - GIEKSA Arena.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 10).

Skra Częstochowa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stal Rzeszów is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stal Rzeszów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stal Rzeszów is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Skra Częstochowa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
31.10.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
24.10.22	Skra Częstochowa - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Górnik Łęczna - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	GKS Tychy - Skra Częstochowa	5:0 ✺
01.10.22	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
29.10.22	Stal Rzeszów - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
24.10.22	GKS Katowice - Stal Rzeszów	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Stal Rzeszów - Odra Opole	4:2 ✺
09.10.22	Arka Gdynia - Stal Rzeszów	2:2 ✺
01.10.22	Stal Rzeszów - Resovia Rzeszów	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
10.04.21	Skra Częstochowa - Stal Rzeszów	3:4
04.10.20	Stal Rzeszów - Skra Częstochowa	3:2
25.07.20	Stal Rzeszów - Skra Częstochowa	4:0
09.11.19	Skra Częstochowa - Stal Rzeszów	1:2

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