Match Info

Division 2 - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Skra Częstochowa		Wieczysta Kraków

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.25	1.26
	7.8	4.9	1.3	Watch
	8.55	5.32	1.3
	10.2	5.19	1.29	Watch
	10	4.8	1.25
	8.12	5.14	1.33	Watch
	8	5	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.74 ↑ (6.1)	5.09 ↑ (4.27)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
10.5%

Draw
18.1%

Wieczysta Kraków
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

21.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

20.5%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wieczysta Kraków's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wieczysta Kraków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Skra Częstochowa - Wieczysta Kraków Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Skra Częstochowa (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Skra Częstochowa (votes: 1 - 50%). Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 6. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 31. Estigarribia 10. Garcia B. 22. Kaczorowski K. 18. Lesniak-Paduch N. 3. Majewski R. 16. Niedbala J. (C) 53. Szywacz W. 13. Waclawek B. 8. Wrobel M.	1. Mikulko A. (G) 23. Brlek P. 3. Goralski J. (C) 21. Kasolik K. 11. Kiedrowicz D. 14. Koj M. 9. Pesek J. 91. Rafa Lopes 10. Sandoval D. 77. Semedo L. 19. Trabka M.
Substitutes
. Cieslak S. 19. Kaczmar M. 23. Lawrynowicz I. 97. Okusami J. 5. Owczarek P. 37. Rogala K. 11. Tomzik K. 99. Warszakowski B. (G) 98. Wirenski J.	26. Brzek B. 20. Chuma 8. Danielak K. 29. Lysiak P. 31. Mielcarz O. (G) 89. Mikolajewski D. 6. Pietrzak R. 18. Torres M. 7. Vukojevic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Niedbala J. ⚽,
45+2', Araujo Guilherme J. L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rafa Lopes ↓, Chuma ↑,
61', Semedo L. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
61', Kiedrowicz D. ↓, Vukojevic D. ↑,
61', Brlek P. ↓, Brzek B. ↑,
71', Trabka M. ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
86', Brzek B. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

No spectators.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Skra Częstochowa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wieczysta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Wieczysta is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
17.04.25	Wisła Puławy - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Polonia Bytom - Skra Częstochowa	5:3 ✺
04.04.25	Skra Częstochowa - Swit Skolwin	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
21.03.25	Skra Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLW
- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 2
17.04.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Swit Skolwin	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Wieczysta Kraków	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Elbląg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
28.09.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Skra Częstochowa	4:1

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