Match Info
Kategoria e Parรซ - Round 27Date: 18 March 2026, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Pogradeci |
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Iliria |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.22 |
5.3 |
9.8 |
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 |
1.18 |
4.75 |
10.5 |
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1.19 |
5.27 |
14.97 |
 Watch |
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1.2 |
5.5 |
11 |
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 |
1.14 |
5.65 |
16.5 |
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1.15 |
5.66 |
13 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↓
(1.5) |
5.36 ↑
(4) |
12.63 ↑
(5.74) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pogradeci
76.1% | Draw
16.8% | Iliria
7.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogradeci's performance.Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iliria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogradeci that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iliria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Pogradeci - Iliria Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Preknicaj K. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 0, Ogunleye K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 76', 3 - 0, Indio Oliveira ⚽,
Preview
Pogradeci has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Iliria is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Pogradeci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Pogradeci is the undeniable favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).Including home match between the teams, Pogradeci won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pogradeci | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
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| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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