Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday


	Slaven Belupo		Cibalia

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.73	3.6	3.65
	1.75	3.66	3.74
	1.77	3.72	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)	3.83 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slaven Belupo
51.1%

Draw
25.3%

Cibalia
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

16.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cibalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slaven Belupo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cibalia than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cibalia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Slaven Belupo - Cibalia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Slaven Belupo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cibalia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cibalia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cibalia have a series of home games.

In this match Slaven Belupo is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Slaven Belupo won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Slaven Belupo won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Slaven Belupo
Club Friendly
01.09.21	Radnik Križevci - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
27.08.21	Slaven Belupo - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1 ✺
21.08.21	Gorica - Slaven Belupo	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
07.08.21	Slaven Belupo - Šibenik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT
- HNK Cibalia
Croatian Prva NL
27.08.21	Cibalia - Rudeš	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Cibalia - Varaždin	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	Cibalia - Opatija	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Cibalia - Vukovar 91	1:0 ✺
03.08.21	Cibalia - Osijek 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.01.21	Slaven Belupo - Cibalia	4:3
Croatian HNL
23.04.18	Cibalia - Slaven Belupo	1:3
18.02.18	Slaven Belupo - Cibalia	2:0
21.10.17	Cibalia - Slaven Belupo	1:0
05.08.17	Slaven Belupo - Cibalia	2:1
21.04.17	Cibalia - Slaven Belupo	3:1
18.12.16	Slaven Belupo - Cibalia	4:0

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