Match Info

HNL - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas (Koprivnica)

Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Slaven Belupo		Osijek

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.2
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.28	2.98	3.25
	2.4	2.91	3.54
	2.3	2.97	3.42	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3.1
	2.38	2.83	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.16)	2.97 ↓ (3.17)	3.33 (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slaven Belupo
40.5%

Draw
31.4%

Osijek
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Slaven Belupo - Osijek Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Osijek will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Hadzikic O. (G) 18. Kruselj F. 6. Bozic T. (C) 4. Kovacic D. 3. Jakir A. 15. Cubelic I. 21. Crepulja L. 17. Mazar F. 11. Mitrovic J. 90. Nestorovski I. 27. Grgic A.	31. Malenica M. (C) 29. Karacic F. 5. Mersinaj J. 26. Jelenic L. 22. Jurisic R. 16. Petrusenko O. 6. Mejia Moscoso D. M. 99. Teklic T. 21. Bubanja V. 11. Omerovic N. 17. Jakupovic A.
Substitutes
24. Bosnjak L. 32. Covic I. (G) 16. Curkovic L. 7. Dabro M. 33. Isasegi K. 22. Jovic F. 5. Katalinic Z. 23. Lepinjica I. 12. Markovic A. (G) 2. Medjimorec V. 19. Qestaj E. 26. Sivalec G.	57. Akere S. 39. Bukvic D. 1. Curcija N. (G) 18. Farkas N. 33. Hasic E. 98. Jovicic M. 49. Kolarik I. 34. Matkovic A. 8. Mikolcic S. 40. Pecek F. 42. Renan Guedes
Coaches
Gregurina M.	Radotic T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Teklic T. 🟨,
25', Mejia Moscoso D. M. 🟨,
36', Nestorovski I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kovacic D. 🟨,
58', Mazar F. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
61', Teklic T. ↓, Bukvic D. ↑,
61', Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
69', Jurisic R. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
69', Jakupovic A. ↓, Matkovic A. ↑,
72', Grgic A. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
84', Kruselj F. ↓, Isasegi K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Osijek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Slaven Belupo might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Caimacov M. (Injury)

There will not play in Osijek: Shopov S. (Knee Injury) Vrbancic L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:33. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	4	16
8	Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Slaven Belupo - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.96%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Osijek - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.82%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL
14.03.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	4:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
10.03.26	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 penalties ✺
Croatian HNL
07.03.26	Gorica - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTWT
- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
14.03.26	Osijek - Gorica	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Istra 1961 - Osijek	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Osijek - Vukovar 91	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Osijek - Hajduk Split	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
20.12.25	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	0:0
04.10.25	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	2:1
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	4:0
Croatian HNL
04.05.25	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	1:4
Croatian Cup
02.04.25	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	1:0 penalties
Croatian HNL
01.03.25	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	1:2
30.11.24	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	3:2

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