Match Info

Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Showgrounds (Sligo)

Referee: Doyle N. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
United-kingdom	Virgin TV Go app
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Sligo Rovers		Waterford

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.15	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.25
	2.8	3.4	2.25
	3.12	3.65	2.26
	3.08	3.61	2.22	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.2
	3.09	3.4	2.22	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.93)	3.46 ↑ (3.43)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sligo Rovers
31.2%

Draw
26.8%

Waterford
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.1%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sligo Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Sligo Rovers - Waterford Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sligo Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sligo Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sargeant S. (G) 4. Quirk S. 52. McElroy G. 15. Denham O. 3. Stewart S. 6. Young L. 16. McHugh C. (C) 19. Nolan A. 9. Pearce L. 7. Shorrock J. 11. Kavanagh C.	1. McMullan S. (G) 16. Cann H. 5. Mahon J. 13. Long K. 2. Houston J. 7. Mawene N. 8. McLaughlin E. 3. Couto B. 10. Noonan C. 9. Amond P. (C) 18. Lonergan T.
Substitutes
61. Cannon C. 20. George T. 1. Hughes L. (G) 23. McDonagh K. 14. McManus J. 10. Meekison A. 24. O'Donnell J. 28. O'Kane R. 41. Woolery K.	32. Amedu G. 6. Ashton J. 56. Brennan A. 11. Coyle T. 21. Doherty A. (G) 15. Heeney L. 12. McKenzie B. 27. McMenamy D. 20. Voilas J.
Coaches
Purse D.	Coughlan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Denham O. ↓, Meekison A. ↑,
62', Pearce L. ↓, Woolery K. ↑,
63', Couto B. 🟨,
66', Cann H. 🟨,
70', Cann H. ↓, McKenzie B. ↑,
72', Lonergan T. 🟨,
74', Mawene N. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
79', Shorrock J. ↓, George T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 3.

Sligo Rovers has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Waterford is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Waterford has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Sligo Rovers: Hakiki J. (Foot Injury) Reynolds C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sligo Rovers: Zefi K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Waterford: Johnson W. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sligo Rovers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	44:54	-10	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	24:54	-30	23

Last Results with these Odds

Sligo Rovers - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.68%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sligo Rovers
Irish FAI Cup
15.08.26	Sligo Rovers - Kerry	4:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
07.08.26	Derry City - Sligo Rovers	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Dundalk - Sligo Rovers	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sligo Rovers - Drogheda United	2:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
18.07.26	Janesboro - Sligo Rovers	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLTTW
- Waterford FC
Irish FAI Cup
14.08.26	Waterford - Athlone Town	2:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
09.08.26	Waterford - Bohemians Dublin	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Waterford - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Galway United - Waterford	0:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Waterford - Cobh Ramblers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
12.06.26	Waterford - Sligo Rovers	4:0
18.04.26	Sligo Rovers - Waterford	2:0
20.02.26	Waterford - Sligo Rovers	0:0
22.08.25	Waterford - Sligo Rovers	1:2
14.06.25	Sligo Rovers - Waterford	1:0
18.04.25	Waterford - Sligo Rovers	0:4
15.02.25	Sligo Rovers - Waterford	2:3

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