Match Info

FAI Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Showgrounds (Sligo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sligo Rovers		Kerry

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.75	4.20
	1.68	3.35	4.3
	1.75	3.54	4.85
	1.75	3.53	4.68
	1.69	3.45	4.75
	1.76	3.51	4.65	Watch
	1.69	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.45)	3.5 ↓ (4.4)	4.53 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sligo Rovers
53.7%

Draw
26.1%

Kerry
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

20.8%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

20.5%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sligo Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sligo Rovers's form might have worsened.

Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sligo Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sargeant S. (G) 33. Esua J. 15. Denham O. 52. McElroy G. 3. Stewart S. 7. Shorrock J. 6. Young L. 16. McHugh C. 19. Nolan A. 11. Kavanagh C. 18. McGonigle J.	1. Connor M. (G) 29. Lee E. 18. Aladesanusi S. 41. Bargary C. 3. O'Connell S. 14. Hakkinen J. 7. McGrath S. (C) 24. Borden V. 11. Okwute D. 10. Murphy C. 28. Brookwell N.
Substitutes
20. George T. 1. Hughes L. (G) 23. McDonagh K. 14. McManus J. 10. Meekison A. 28. O'Kane R. 9. Pearce L. 4. Quirk S. 41. Woolery K.	26. Britton M. 17. Brosnan C. 44. Halwax H. (G) 35. Healy A. 34. Keane R. 8. Luchinger S. 21. Palmer L. 23. Perez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Okwute D. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Kavanagh C. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Nolan A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', Shorrock J. ↓, Meekison A. ↑,
64', McGonigle J. ↓, Woolery K. ↑,
68', Perez R. ↓, Palmer L. ↑,
68', McGrath S. ↓, Britton M. ↑,
71', Young L. ↓, Quirk S. ↑,
78', Borden V. ↓, Brosnan C. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, McHugh C. ⚽,
82', Hakkinen J. 🟨,
83', Kavanagh C. ↓, Pearce L. ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', Meekison A. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 0, Woolery K. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Sligo Rovers have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kerry is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kerry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sligo Rovers is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sligo Rovers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division
07.08.26	Derry City - Sligo Rovers	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Dundalk - Sligo Rovers	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sligo Rovers - Drogheda United	2:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
18.07.26	Janesboro - Sligo Rovers	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Sligo Rovers - Coleraine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTWL
- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	Cork City - Kerry	3:1 ✺
03.08.26	Kerry - Cobh Ramblers	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	Bray Wanderers - Kerry	0:4 ✺
24.07.26	Kerry - Finn Harps	2:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Kerry - Shelbourne	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish FAI Cup
12.09.25	Kerry - Sligo Rovers	4:3 ET

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