Match Info

National League South - Round 24

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Arbour Park (Slough)


	Slough Town		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.35	2.35
	2.67	3.54	2.43	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.45
	2.64	3.22	2.38
	2.66	3.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.82)	3.31 ↑ (3.29)	2.4 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
34.3%

Draw
27.6%

Chesham United
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Slough Town - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Holness L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Oshilaja K. ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Shakpoke R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slough won 2.

Recent form of Slough has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chesham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Slough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Slough won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Slough won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Slough Town - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.93%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Chesham United - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English National League South
26.12.25	Maidenhead United - Slough Town	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Slough Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
16.12.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Slough Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.25	Slough Town - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ET ✺
English National League South
29.11.25	Dover Athletic - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLTLL
- Chesham United
English National League South
26.12.25	Chesham United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Horsham - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Chesham United - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Chesham United - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.04.25	Chesham United - Slough Town	2:3
26.12.24	Slough Town - Chesham United	1:1
English Southern Premier League
02.04.18	Slough Town - Chesham United	2:1
01.01.18	Chesham United - Slough Town	1:1
17.04.17	Chesham United - Slough Town	1:1
02.01.17	Slough Town - Chesham United	1:2
26.12.15	Slough Town - Chesham United	0:1

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