Match Info

National League South - Round 20

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.7	1.7
	4.49	3.92	1.7
	3.54	3.57	1.94	Watch
	4.05	3.64	1.73
	4.33	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.54)	3.73 ↑ (3.57)	1.75 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
22.4%

Draw
24.8%

Dorking Wanderers
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Chesham United - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Babos A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 2 - 0, ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Chesham is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dorking is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dorking may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dorking might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Chesham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
25.11.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chesham United - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
English National League South
08.11.25	Chesham United - Salisbury	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Hornchurch - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLT
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
22.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	3:2 ✺
English National League South
08.11.25	Farnborough - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Enfield Town	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.04.25	Dorking Wanderers - Chesham United	2:0
21.12.24	Chesham United - Dorking Wanderers	0:5

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