Match Info

National League South - Round 16

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Arbour Park (Slough)


	Slough Town		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.15	2.28
	3.11	3.16	2.34
	2.52	3.61	2.48	Watch
	2.97	3.08	2.28
	2.48	3.25	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.52)	3.25 ↓ (3.61)	2.39 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
32.9%

Draw
28.5%

Bath City
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

25.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

24.8%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Slough Town - Bath City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Slough (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Makowski W. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Jenkins-Davies W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Tabor J. ⚽,
64', 1 - 3, Ash B. ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Myers J. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slough won 3.

Slough has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bath has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Slough won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Slough won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Slough Town - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.84%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Bath City - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Slough Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
English National League South
25.10.25	Slough Town - Maidstone United	1:4 ✺
21.10.25	Weston-super-Mare - Slough Town	5:1 ✺
18.10.25	Salisbury - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Slough Town - Enfield Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLLW
- Bath City
English National League South
01.11.25	Bath City - Horsham	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Bath City - Totton	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Hornchurch - Bath City	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Farnborough - Bath City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.03.25	Bath City - Slough Town	2:0
05.11.24	Slough Town - Bath City	3:0
02.03.24	Slough Town - Bath City	4:2
09.01.24	Bath City - Slough Town	1:2
28.02.23	Slough Town - Bath City	0:3
29.08.22	Bath City - Slough Town	5:1
15.03.22	Bath City - Slough Town	1:1

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