Match Info

National League South - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Arbour Park (Slough)


	Slough Town		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.60	1.85
	3.50	3.65	1.80
	3.74	3.99	1.86
	3.5	3.88	1.9	Watch
	3.70	3.85	1.82
	3.41	3.93	1.92
	3.30	3.65	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.67)	3.79 ↑ (3.64)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
26.4%

Draw
24.3%

Hemel Hempstead Town
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

25.1%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

24.1%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Slough Town - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Angol L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Chigozie C. ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 23rd in the Relegation and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slough won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Slough (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hemel Hempstead has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Slough could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Hemel Hempstead is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Slough has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:15 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Slough against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:4 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13
24	Slough	10	1	1	8	10:24	-14	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English National League South
12.09.26	Totton - Slough Town	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Salisbury - Slough Town	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Slough Town - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Slough Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLLL
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Wingate & Finchley - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
English National League South
12.09.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Farnham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
17.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	0:3
16.08.25	Slough Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
11.01.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	4:1
07.09.24	Slough Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
13.04.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	2:3
19.12.23	Slough Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0
01.04.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	1:1

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