Match Info

National League South - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Raymond McEnhill Stadium (Salisbury)


	Salisbury		Slough Town

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.00	6.25
	1.40	4.60	5.40
	1.34	6.07	7.04
	1.35	5.71	6.55	Watch
	1.29	6.00	6.95
	1.28	5.50	7.34
	1.30	5.40	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.58)	5.47 ↑ (4.49)	6.62 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
69.3%

Draw
16.8%

Slough Town
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

18.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salisbury's performance.

Slough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slough Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salisbury that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slough Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salisbury - Slough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Spencer S. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Odokonyero N. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Bradbury C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 3 - 1, Odokonyero N. ⚽,
59', 4 - 1, Odokonyero N. ⚽,
85', (Penalty Awarded),
89', 5 - 1, Bartolo J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 2.

In recent matches, Salisbury has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Slough is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Salisbury is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Salisbury: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salisbury	10	5	3	2	18:7	11	18
24	Slough	10	1	1	8	10:24	-14	4

Last Results with these Odds

Slough Town - the odds 4.49 are the expected chance of winning is 20.65%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
05.09.26	Chelmsford City - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Salisbury - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Maidstone United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Horsham - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLLT
- Slough Town
English National League South
05.09.26	Slough Town - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Slough Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Slough Town	5:3 ✺
18.08.26	Slough Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.03.26	Slough Town - Salisbury	3:3
18.10.25	Salisbury - Slough Town	2:1
14.12.24	Slough Town - Salisbury	1:1
17.08.24	Salisbury - Slough Town	1:0
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Slough Town - Salisbury	3:0
30.09.23	Salisbury - Slough Town	0:0

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