Match Info

National League South - Round 39

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Arbour Park (Slough)


	Slough Town		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.5	2.68
	2.39	3.74	2.64
	2.21	3.59	2.95	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.63
	2.44	3.64	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.04)	3.59 ↓ (3.7)	2.7 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
39.6%

Draw
25.9%

Salisbury
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

25%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

24.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slough Town's form might have worsened.

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slough Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salisbury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Slough Town - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Odokonyero N. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Shakpoke R. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Hedges J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 2 - 2, Holness L. ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 19).

Recent performances by Slough have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salisbury has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Slough will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slough won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Slough won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Salisbury: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salisbury	10	5	3	2	18:7	11	18
24	Slough	10	1	1	8	10:24	-14	4

Last Results with these Odds

Slough Town - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.28%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English National League South
10.03.26	Slough Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Hornchurch - Slough Town	2:3 ✺
03.03.26	Bath City - Slough Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Slough Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Totton - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWWTT
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
10.03.26	Torquay United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Salisbury - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Hornchurch - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Salisbury - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Maidenhead United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.10.25	Salisbury - Slough Town	2:1
14.12.24	Slough Town - Salisbury	1:1
17.08.24	Salisbury - Slough Town	1:0
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Slough Town - Salisbury	3:0
30.09.23	Salisbury - Slough Town	0:0

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