Match Info

National League South - Round 38

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Torquay United		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.05	4.25
	1.75	4.28	4.2
	1.72	4.34	3.88	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4
	1.66	3.95	4.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.5)	4.1 ↓ (4.45)	4.09 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
54.6%

Draw
22.6%

Salisbury
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

20.9%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

20.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torquay United's form might have worsened.

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salisbury's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torquay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salisbury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Torquay United - Salisbury Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torquay (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Morgan D. ⚽,
81', 2 - 0, Jay M. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Coppin N. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).

Torquay is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Salisbury has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Torquay is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Torquay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Torquay: 14.21% Salisbury: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salisbury	10	5	3	2	18:7	11	18
13	Torquay	10	3	4	3	13:14	-1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
07.03.26	Ebbsfleet United - Torquay United	3:0 ✺
03.03.26	Torquay United - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Torquay United - Chelmsford City	0:5 ✺
24.02.26	Worthing - Torquay United	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Eastbourne Borough - Torquay United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
07.03.26	Salisbury - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Hornchurch - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Salisbury - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Maidenhead United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chelmsford City - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.10.25	Salisbury - Torquay United	0:1
11.03.25	Torquay United - Salisbury	2:2
05.11.24	Salisbury - Torquay United	0:1

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