Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Arbour Park (Slough)


	Slough Town		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	5
	1.4	5	5
	1.37	4.95	6.3
	1.60	2.89	9.62	Watch
	1.34	4.95	7.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	4.56 ↓ (5)	6.68 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
65.6%

Draw
20.5%

Welling United
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Slough Town - Welling United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Welling (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. Replay (1st match was draw).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slough won 0.

In recent matches, Slough has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Welling has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Slough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Slough is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Slough won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Slough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Welling United - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Torquay United - Slough Town	4:2 ✺
02.09.25	Slough Town - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Slough Town - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Eastbourne Borough - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWTT
- Welling United
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Welling United - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Welling United	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Welling United - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Chichester City - Welling United	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Welling United - Lewes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
13.09.25	Welling United - Slough Town	1:1
English National League South
01.03.25	Welling United - Slough Town	2:2
23.11.24	Slough Town - Welling United	2:3
20.04.24	Slough Town - Welling United	1:1
11.11.23	Welling United - Slough Town	4:3
18.02.23	Slough Town - Welling United	0:3
08.11.22	Welling United - Slough Town	0:0

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