Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 16

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty (Uherske Hradiste)

Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Slovácko		Zlín

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.58	3.2	2.68	Watch
	2.69	3.23	2.65
	1.07	10.01	27.71	Watch
	2.57	3.13	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.65)	4.55 ↑ (3.14)	7.69 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovácko
55.6%

Draw
27.9%

Zlín
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovácko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slovácko's performance.

Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zlín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovácko than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slovácko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zlín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Slovácko - Zlín Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Slovácko will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Zlín will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zlín: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Zlín (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zlín will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zlín (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Heca M. (G) 23. Reinberk P. 5. Vasko F. 3. Rundic M. 18. Mulder J. 8. Tetour D. 10. Travnik M. (C) 15. Blahut P. 20. Havlik M. 77. Kim Seung-Bin 21. Krmencik M.	17. Dostal S. (G) 22. Fukala M. 24. Cernin J. 28. Kolar J. 31. Bartosak L. 6. Didiba J. 19. Nombil C. 82. Pisoja M. 26. Cupak M. 91. Kalabiska J. 88. Poznar T. (C)
Substitutes
14. Barat D. 31. Borek J. (G) 13. Ceesay O. 30. Frystak T. (G) 25. Hamza J. 7. Koscelnik M. 27. Kvasina M. 9. Marinelli A. 2. Ndefe G. 4. Stojcevski A. 6. Svidersky M.	1. Belanik S. (G) 30. Branecky L. 53. Hellebrand T. 14. Kanu S. 34. Knobloch M. (G) 15. Koubek M. 39. Krapka A. 8. Machalik D. 11. Natchkebia Z. 16. Petruta S. 4. Ulbrich T.
Coaches
Skuhravy R.	Cervenka B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Tetour D. ⚽, Havlik M. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Kim Seung-Bin ⚽, Travnik M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pisoja M. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
55', Cernin J. ↓, Hellebrand T. ↑,
55', Poznar T. ↓, Branecky L. ↑,
65', Rundic M. ↓, Stojcevski A. ↑,
65', Kim Seung-Bin ↓, Svidersky M. ↑,
68', Kalabiska J. ↓, Natchkebia Z. ↑,
71', Krmencik M. 🟨,
76', Reinberk P. ↓, Ndefe G. ↑,
78', Cupak M. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
81', Natchkebia Z. 🟨,
84', Tetour D. ↓, Koscelnik M. ↑,
84', Krmencik M. ↓, Barat D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 3.

Slovácko has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Zlín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Slovácko won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Slovácko - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.04%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Slovácko
Czech 1 Liga
08.11.25	Hradec Králové - Slovácko	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Slovácko - Slovan Liberec	0:3 ✺
Czech Cup
28.10.25	Karviná - Slovácko	1:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
25.10.25	Dukla Prague - Slovácko	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLLT
- FC Zlín
Czech 1 Liga
08.11.25	Zlín - Bohemians 1905	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Jablonec - Zlín	1:3 ✺
Czech Cup
29.10.25	Zlín - Slavia Prague	0:4 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
25.10.25	Zlín - Pardubice	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Slavia Prague - Zlín	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
26.07.25	Zlín - Slovácko	1:1
18.02.24	Zlín - Slovácko	2:1
02.09.23	Slovácko - Zlín	1:0
19.03.23	Slovácko - Zlín	3:0
02.10.22	Zlín - Slovácko	0:2
19.02.22	Zlín - Slovácko	1:0
18.09.21	Slovácko - Zlín	3:0

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