Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tehelné pole (Bratislava)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	STVR Sport
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Slovan Bratislava		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.7	Watch
	1.85	3.60	4.10
	1.85	3.85	3.95	Watch
	1.89	3.65	4.17
	1.88	3.65	4.04	Watch
	1.89	3.4	4
	1.85	3.84	3.99	Watch
	1.88	3.65	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.06)	3.67 ↑ (3.41)	3.99 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovan Bratislava
50.6%

Draw
25.7%

Mjällby
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

27.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovan Bratislava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.6%	17.8%	6.7%

Slovan Bratislava - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Slovan Bratislava will win (votes: 34 - 77.3%). Mjällby will win (votes: 3 - 6.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slovan Bratislava: 64.9% – 89.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovan Bratislava (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Mjällby (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovan Bratislava (votes: 3 - 50%). Mjällby (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Takac D. (G) 28. Blackman C. 12. Bajric K. (C) 15. Markovic S. 57. Cruz S. 20. Mustafic A. 3. Pokorny P. 5. Ibrahim R. 19. Kianga M. 9. Kukharevych M. 21. Camara S.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 5. Iqbal A. 2. Svanberg L. 24. Pettersson T. 14. Granath V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 7. Gustafson V. 26. Hoffmann I. 10. Kjaer J. 23. Samuelsen A. 18. Bergstrom J.
Substitutes
11. Barseghyan T. 8. Gajdos A. 25. Hofstadter L. 77. Ignatenko D. 2. Kozlovsky S. 44. Macik M. (G) 29. Maros A. 70. Martinez C. 88. Matsuoka D. 1. Popovic A. (G) 6. Wimmer K. 14. Yirajang A.	3. Agnarsson M. 30. Ahlstrand M. (G) 39. Arrhenius R. 29. Lindberg O. 35. Lundin A. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 4. Noren A. 27. Tidstrand L. 9. Youssef A.
Coaches
Toure Y.	Aksum K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Pettersson T. 🟨,
44', Ibrahim R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kianga M. ↓, Barseghyan T. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Camara S. ⚽, Cruz S. (A),
49', Granath V. 🟨,
56', Svanberg L. ↓, Miettinen T. ↑,
56', Hoffmann I. ↓, Youssef A. ↑,
58', Camara S. 🟨,
59', Kukharevych M. ↓, Yirajang A. ↑,
59', Ibrahim R. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
61', Mustafic A. 🟨,
72', Granath V. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
72', Kjaer J. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
76', Mustafic A. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Yirajang A. ⚽, Cruz S. (A),
83', Camara S. ↓, Hofstadter L. ↑,
87', Gustafson V. ↓, Agnarsson M. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1.

Slovan Bratislava is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mjällby has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Slovan Bratislava is the team to beat.

We predict that Slovan Bratislava will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Slovan Bratislava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Slovan Bratislava: 0.22%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:6	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovan Bratislava
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Mjällby - Slovan Bratislava	1:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
01.08.26	Slovan Bratislava - Podbrezová	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Slovan Bratislava - Iberia 1999	1:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
26.07.26	Dukla Banská Bystrica - Slovan Bratislava	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Iberia 1999 - Slovan Bratislava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTWW
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
08.08.26	Mjällby - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Mjällby - Slovan Bratislava	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Mjällby	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.07.26	Kalmar - Mjällby	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Mjällby - Lincoln Red Imps	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Mjällby - Slovan Bratislava	1:2

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