Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Strandvallen (Hällevik)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Slovakia	STVR Sport, Voyo
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mjällby		Slovan Bratislava

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.4	Watch
	2.10	3.30	3.60
	2.18	3.2	3.55	Watch
	2.23	3.17	3.5
	2.25	3.15	3.43	Watch
	2.17	3.1	3.4
	2.17	3.11	3.71	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.84)	3.15 ↓ (3.84)	3.51 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mjällby
43.2%

Draw
29.9%

Slovan Bratislava
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mjällby's form might have worsened.

Slovan Bratislava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mjällby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.5%	27.5%	15%

Mjällby - Slovan Bratislava Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). Slovan Bratislava will win (votes: 6 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 27.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 42.2% – 72.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Slovan Bratislava (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovan Bratislava (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 5. Iqbal A. 2. Svanberg L. 24. Pettersson T. 14. Granath V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 7. Gustafson V. 17. Stroud E. 23. Samuelsen A. 10. Kjaer J. 18. Bergstrom J.	71. Takac D. (G) 28. Blackman C. 12. Bajric K. (C) 15. Markovic S. 57. Cruz S. 70. Martinez C. 3. Pokorny P. 8. Gajdos A. 29. Maros A. 9. Kukharevych M. 14. Yirajang A.
Substitutes
3. Agnarsson M. 39. Arrhenius R. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 26. Hoffmann I. 29. Lindberg P. 35. Lundin A. (G) 19. Manneh A. 33. Miettinen T. 25. Nielsen M. 4. Noren A. 27. Tidstrand L. 9. Youssef A.	21. Camara S. 25. Hofstadter L. 5. Ibrahim R. 77. Ignatenko D. 19. Kianga M. 2. Kozlovsky S. 44. Macik M. (G) 88. Matsuoka D. 20. Mustafic A. 1. Popovic A. (G) 24. Tomasko M. 6. Wimmer K.
Coaches
Aksum K.	Toure Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Samuelsen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Martinez C. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Stroud E. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Gajdos A. ↓, Mustafic A. ↑,
66', Maros A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
70', Bergstrom J. ↓, Youssef A. ↑,
70', Kjaer J. ↓, Manneh A. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Camara S. ⚽, Kukharevych M. (A),
79', Kukharevych M. ↓, Kianga M. ↑,
79', Martinez C. ↓, Ibrahim R. ↑,
81', Granath V. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
81', Gustafson V. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
89', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
89', Samuelsen A. ↓, Lindberg P. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Kianga M. ⚽, Camara S. (A),

Preview

First leg.

Mjällby has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Slovan Bratislava is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Slovan Bratislava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mjällby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Slovan Bratislava: 0.27%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:6	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjällby AIF
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Mjällby	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.07.26	Kalmar - Mjällby	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Mjällby - Lincoln Red Imps	3:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.07.26	Mjällby - Västerås SK	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Mjällby - AIK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLWTL
- Slovan Bratislava
Slovak Superliga
01.08.26	Slovan Bratislava - Podbrezová	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Slovan Bratislava - Iberia 1999	1:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
26.07.26	Dukla Banská Bystrica - Slovan Bratislava	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Iberia 1999 - Slovan Bratislava	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Slovan Bratislava - Paphos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWW

Upcoming Matches