Match Info

Chance Liga - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty (Uherske Hradiste)

Referee: Stary D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Slovácko		Mladá Boleslav

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2	3.5	3.35	Watch
	2.06	3.65	3.58
	2.02	3.48	3.52	Watch
	2	3.3	3.4
	2	3.52	3.45	Watch
	2.44	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.42)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	3.31 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Slovácko
44.8%

Draw
27%

Mladá Boleslav
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovácko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slovácko's performance.

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mladá Boleslav might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovácko than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slovácko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Slovácko - Mladá Boleslav Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Slovácko will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovácko (votes: 1 - 50%). Mladá Boleslav (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Mladá Boleslav (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Mladá Boleslav (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovácko (votes: 1 - 25%). Mladá Boleslav (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Heca M. (G) 2. Ndefe G. 3. Rundic M. 4. Stojcevski A. 7. Koscelnik M. 10. Travnik M. (C) 26. Kostadinov T. 15. Blahut P. 8. Tetour D. 24. Juroska P. 16. Fiala A.	42. Vorel V. (G) 24. Mares D. 3. Kralik M. (C) 44. Karafiat O. 11. Hybs M. 13. Donat D. 19. Kozel D. 10. Lehky F. 28. Langhamer D. 49. Kolarik J. 25. Kabongo C.
Substitutes
28. Danicek V. 20. Havlik M. 72. Horak R. 21. Krmencik M. 9. Marinelli A. 18. Mulder J. 25. Ndubuisi P. 17. Suchan J. 6. Svidersky M. 33. Urban A. (G) 5. Vasko F.	59. Floder J. (G) 20. John S. 23. Klima J. 31. Kostka D. 37. Krulich M. 32. Matousek F. 15. Penner N. 22. Sevcik M. 21. Subert M. 76. Zika J.
Coaches
Skuhravy R.	Majer A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Kolarik J. ⚽, Lehky F. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Kolarik J. ⚽, Karafiat O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Travnik M. ↓, Havlik M. ↑,
46', Kostadinov T. ↓, Krmencik M. ↑,
46', Fiala A. ↓, Marinelli A. ↑,
61', Kabongo C. ↓, Klima J. ↑,
62', 0 - 3, Klima J. ⚽, Karafiat O. (A),
67', Rundic M. ↓, Mulder J. ↑,
74', Langhamer D. ↓, Kostka D. ↑,
74', Kolarik J. ↓, Subert M. ↑,
77', Juroska P. ↓, Suchan J. ↑,
82', Donat D. ↓, Zika J. ↑,
82', Lehky F. ↓, Penner N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Slovácko might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Slovácko: Barat D. (Injury) Petrzela M. (Injury) Reinberk P. (Injury)

There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Buryan J. (Injury) Floder J. (Injury) Macek R. (Injury) Ogungbayi B. (Injury) Pech Da. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Slovácko won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mlada Boleslav	9	5	2	2	17:12	5	17
15	Slovacko	9	0	4	5	7:16	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Slovácko
Czech 1 Liga
12.05.26	Slovácko - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Dukla Prague - Slovácko	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Teplice - Slovácko	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Slovácko - Dukla Prague	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sigma Olomouc - Slovácko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTLL
- FK Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga
12.05.26	Mladá Boleslav - Dukla Prague	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Mladá Boleslav - Zlín	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Karviná - Mladá Boleslav	0:3 ✺
Czech Cup
21.04.26	Jablonec - Mladá Boleslav	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
07.03.26	Slovácko - Mladá Boleslav	2:2
04.10.25	Mladá Boleslav - Slovácko	0:0
25.05.25	Mladá Boleslav - Slovácko	2:2
23.11.24	Slovácko - Mladá Boleslav	1:1
28.07.24	Mladá Boleslav - Slovácko	3:0
14.05.24	Mladá Boleslav - Slovácko	0:1
16.12.23	Mladá Boleslav - Slovácko	0:1

Upcoming Matches