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Current Win Probability
Mladá Boleslav 45.5%
Draw 24%
Dukla Prague 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
26%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
25.3%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mladá Boleslav's performance.
Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dukla Prague might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mladá Boleslav that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dukla Prague could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mladá Boleslav - Dukla Prague Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Jovanoski S. (G) 13. Donat D. 11. Hybs M. 20. John S. 44. Karafiat O. 19. Kozel D. 37. Krulich M. (C) 24. Mares D. 21. Subert M. . Teterya R. 4. Zouhar A.
31. Jagrik A. (G) 8. Gaszczyk P. 18. Hasek D. 43. Jedlicka T. 6. Kostka L. 45. Kozojed J. 47. Kreiker D. 9. Kroupa M. 15. Sebrle S. 23. Svozil J. 4. Zamazal D.
Substitutes
. Floder J. (G) . Harustak J. . Jinoch J. . Klima J. . Kolar F. . Kolarik J. . Kralik M. . Langhamer D. . Macek R. . Matousek F. . Zachoval M.
. Ambler M. . Basta D. (G) . Cernak M. . Gomez Jesus A. . Hindi S. . Kozma D. . Mikus R. . Unusic B. . Velasquez D. . Zarate D. . Zitny M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Mares D. ↓, Matousek F. ↑,
42', 1 - 0, Kozel D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Teterya R. ↓, Klima J. ↑,
46', Krulich M. ↓, Jinoch J. ↑,
46', John S. ↓, Kolarik J. ↑,
46', Subert M. ↓, Macek R. ↑,
46', Kozel D. ↓, Langhamer D. ↑,
46', Karafiat O. ↓, Zachoval M. ↑,
46', Hybs M. ↓, Kolar F. ↑,
46', Donat D. ↓, Harustak J. ↑,
46', Zouhar A. ↓, Kralik M. ↑,
46', Jovanoski S. ↓, Floder J. ↑,
46', Kreiker D. ↓, Cernak M. ↑,
46', Kozojed J. ↓, Zarate D. ↑,
46', Jedlicka T. ↓, Kozma D. ↑,
46', Svozil J. ↓, Unusic B. ↑,
46', Hasek D. ↓, Hindi S. ↑,
46', Sebrle S. ↓, Zitny M. ↑,
46', Kroupa M. ↓, Gomez Jesus A. ↑,
46', Gaszczyk P. ↓, Ambler M. ↑,
46', Kostka L. ↓, Mikus R. ↑,
46', Zamazal D. ↓, Velasquez D. ↑,
46', Jagrik A. ↓, Basta D. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Jinoch J. ⚽,
Preview
Neutral location.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Dukla Prague may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Dukla Prague - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.15%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.