Match Info

SERBIA: Prva Liga - Round 14

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion FK Smederevo (Smederevo)


	Smederevo		Sloven Ruma

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.25	5
	1.62	3.3	5.4
	1.67	3.14	4.93
	1.81	3.29	4.8	Watch
	1.5	3.4	6.5
	1.71	3.24	4.89
	1.62	3.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.45)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)	5.27 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smederevo
55%

Draw
27.7%

Sloven Ruma
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

25.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

16.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smederevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smederevo's form might have worsened.

Sloven Ruma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sloven Ruma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smederevo than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smederevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloven Ruma than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Smederevo - Sloven Ruma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Stankovic A. (G) 7. Balabanovic V. 17. Djokic M. 26. Djordjevic K. 13. Jankovic L. 4. Jovanovic A. 5. Kostic M. 11. Markovic A. 10. Milisavljevic M. 21. Mitic D. 23. Vidovic A.	30. Borak A. (G) 17. Arsic L. 55. Dimitric O. 19. Mitrovic J. 21. Ostojic M. 23. Pesic M. 3. Radovic N. 2. Simic D. 24. Stankovic N. 28. Stefanovic S. 5. Vilotic S.
Substitutes
22. Bacanin M. 2. Djokic V. 15. Ignjatovic N. 20. Jovanovic D. 1. Jovic S. (G) 19. Lukovic L. 28. Malisic P. 24. Markovic L. 25. Oregbe O. A. 8. Rasljanin J. 14. Tucker K.	26. Ajdinovic E. 27. Avric F. 25. Dragicevic M. (G) 22. Ignjic A. 9. Ilic B. 7. Jandric V. 8. Marinkovic M. 29. Petrovic M. 15. Radisic A. 16. Stojsavljevic L. 14. Trivic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Balabanovic V. ⚽,
38', Jovanovic A. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Djokic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Avric F. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smederevo
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	Smederevo - Novi Pazar	1:3 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.24	Trayal Kruševac - Smederevo	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Smederevo - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Mladost Novi Sad - Smederevo	1:0 ✺
07.10.24	Smederevo - Inđija	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLT
- GFK Sloven Ruma
Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.24	Sloven Ruma - Dubočica	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Vršac - Sloven Ruma	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Trayal Kruševac - Sloven Ruma	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Sloven Ruma - Sloboda Užice	1:4 ✺
28.09.24	Mladost Novi Sad - Sloven Ruma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL

Smederevo - Sloven Ruma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide