Match Info

1. Liga - Round 23

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Latvia	15:00	Futbols TV


	Smiltene		Riga 2

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.80	1.88
	3.00	3.95	1.85
	2.79	4.20	1.94
	3.38	4.4	1.75	Watch
	2.75	4.15	1.92
	3.01	4.00	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.35)	4.08 ↓ (4.43)	1.87 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smiltene
30.1%

Draw
22%

Riga 2
47.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.3%

20.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smiltene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Riga 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Smiltene - Riga 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smiltene won 2.

Riga 2 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Riga 2 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Smiltene has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:29 (averaging 0.9:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Smiltene against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:16 goals (averaging 1.3:4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Riga FC 2	24	9	6	9	39:39	0	33
10	FK Smiltene	24	6	5	13	37:62	-25	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smiltene BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
11.10.26	Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Super Nova 2 - Smiltene	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Smiltene - Riga Mariners	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	JDFS Alberts - Smiltene	3:2 ✺
02.08.26	JFK Ventspils - Smiltene	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 WWWLW
- Riga FC 2
Latvian 1 Liga
11.10.26	Riga 2 - Rēzekne	5:0 ✺
20.09.26	Mārupe - Riga 2	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Riga 2 - Leevon PPK	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Riga 2 - Skanstes	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	JFK Ventspils - Riga 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.26	Riga 2 - Smiltene	2:0
01.08.25	Riga 2 - Smiltene	0:2
06.04.25	Smiltene - Riga 2	5:1
02.11.24	Smiltene - Riga 2	0:3
20.07.24	Riga 2 - Smiltene	5:1
22.10.23	Smiltene - Riga 2	0:7
01.07.23	Riga 2 - Smiltene	3:0

Smiltene - Riga 2