Match Info
Nakotnes liga - Round 11Date: 28 June 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Latvia | Futbols TV |
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Smiltene |
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Skanstes |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.95 |
3.60 |
1.98 |
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 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
1.82 |
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 |
3.00 |
3.91 |
1.99 |
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 |
2.89 |
4.09 |
1.99 |
 Watch |
 |
2.80 |
3.85 |
1.95 |
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 |
3.53 |
4 |
1.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↓
(3.42) |
3.89 ↓
(3.95) |
1.92 ↑
(1.81) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Smiltene
29.5% | Draw
23.3% | Skanstes
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smiltene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Skanstes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Smiltene - Skanstes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Berzins M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 51', 0 - 2, Baltrusaitis D. ⚽,
- 53', 0 - 3, Livcans L. ⚽,
- 55', 0 - 4, Lampty M. ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 4, Dumins E. ⚽,
- 78', 2 - 4, Spalvins M. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smiltene won 1.Smiltene is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Skanstes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Skanstes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Skanstes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Smiltene won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Smiltene won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Skanste | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 43:42 | 1 | 26 |
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| 11 | FK Smiltene | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 29:57 | -28 | 16 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Smiltene - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 26.66%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Latvian 1 Liga | | | 09.08.25 | Smiltene - Skanstes | 1:2 | | 12.04.25 | Skanstes - Smiltene | 1:1 | | 10.11.24 | Skanstes - Smiltene | 0:3 | | 28.07.24 | Smiltene - Skanstes | 0:3 | | 12.08.23 | Skanstes - Smiltene | 3:0 | | 14.04.23 | Smiltene - Skanstes | 1:2 | | 06.08.22 | Skanstes - Smiltene | 0:0 |
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