Match Info
1. Liga - Round 20Date: 12 September 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Latvia | Futbols TV |
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Mārupe |
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Tukums 2000 2 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.61 |
4.10 |
3.90 |
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 |
1.62 |
4.05 |
3.9 |
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 |
1.7 |
4.04 |
3.59 |
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 |
1.69 |
4.21 |
3.8 |
 Watch |
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1.68 |
4 |
3.55 |
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 |
1.67 |
4.05 |
3.92 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.63) |
4.08 ↑
(4.06) |
3.78 ↓
(3.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mārupe
54.1% | Draw
22.1% | Tukums 2000 2
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Tukums 2000 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 2 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)Mārupe - Tukums 2000 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (5 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 12).Both teams are struggling and far from their best.Mārupe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Mārupe is a strong favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Mārupe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Marupe | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
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| 10 | Tukums 2000 2 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27:60 | -33 | 18 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Latvian 1 Liga | | | 09.05.26 | Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe | 1:2 | | 27.07.25 | Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe | 1:2 | | 29.03.25 | Mārupe - Tukums 2000 2 | 1:0 | | 31.08.24 | Mārupe - Tukums 2000 2 | 2:1 | | 05.05.24 | Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe | 0:1 |
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