Match Info

Date: 23 April 2021, Friday


	Smorgon		Sputnik Rechitsa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.6
	2.35	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.41	3.15	2.8
	2.51	3.28	2.94
	2.45	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.53	3.34	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.53)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	2.72 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
38.2%

Draw
28%

Sputnik Rechitsa
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

19.3%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sputnik Rechitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smorgon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sputnik Rechitsa than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sputnik Rechitsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Smorgon - Sputnik Rechitsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation to Pershaya Liga and 13).

Smorgon has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sputnik is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Smorgon have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Smorgon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Smorgon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
18.04.21	Rukh Brest - Smorgon	5:0 ✺
11.04.21	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Smorgon	3:0 ✺
04.04.21	Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon	1:1 ✺
19.03.21	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
13.03.21	SKA-1938 - Smorgon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL
- Sputnik Rechitsa
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
16.04.21	Sputnik Rechitsa - Isloch Minsk	1:5 ✺
09.04.21	SKA-1938 - Sputnik Rechitsa	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	Sputnik Rechitsa - Minsk	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Gomel - Sputnik Rechitsa	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Sputnik Rechitsa - Dinamo Brest	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.11.20	Smorgon - Sputnik Rechitsa	2:1
18.04.20	Sputnik Rechitsa - Smorgon	1:1
Belarusian Cup
13.06.18	Sputnik Rechitsa - Smorgon	0:1 penalties

Smorgon - Sputnik Rechitsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide