Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 28

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: SOK Olympijskij (Minsk)

Referee: Shiyan N. (Blr)


	Isloch Minsk		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.46	5.16
	1.72	3.49	5	Watch
	1.55	5.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)	4.07 ↑ (3.4)	4.64 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Isloch Minsk
56.6%

Draw
23.1%

Smorgon
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Isloch Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Isloch Minsk's performance.

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isloch Minsk than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Isloch Minsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Isloch Minsk - Smorgon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Isloch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Isloch Minsk will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klimovich A. (G) 3. Tikhomirov I. 15. Patsko N. 18. Gomanov K. (C) 5. Volkov S. 23. Kovalevich M. 13. Shestyuk A. 87. Kravchenko Y. 25. Makarenko A. 99. Yudchits E. 27. Stalbekov N.	16. Vasilyuchek V. (G) 3. Intsoen C. 7. Levkovets A. 8. Maslovskiy V. 5. Firsov A. 17. Dukso M. (C) 6. Doumbia S. 20. Tonkevich V. 91. Budko M. 78. Yablonskiy M. 27. Tishko A.
Substitutes
14. Dayyabu M. 10. Khvashchinskiy V. 88. Knyshev N. 55. Konyukhov V. 19. Olaleye A. 17. Rodionov K. 28. Svirskiy A. (G) 20. Veretilo O. 31. Zaleskiy A.	19. Azarko M. (G) 25. Bamba L. 9. Chebotar V. 13. Dayneko A. 55. Dubovik T. 63. Kukhlejj R. 21. Yezhov R.
Coaches
Komarovskiy D.	Dorokhovich S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Shestyuk A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Stalbekov N. ↓, Olaleye A. ↑,
72', Budko M. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
72', Patsko N. ↓, Knyshev N. ↑,
72', Shestyuk A. ↓, Khvashchinskiy V. ↑,
76', Dukso M. ↓, Bamba L. ↑,
88', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Dayneko A. ↑,
88', Kovalevich M. ↓, Zaleskiy A. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+7', Komarovskiy D. 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Isloch won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Isloch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Isloch is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Isloch won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Isloch won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Isloch Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.11.25	ML Vitebsk - Isloch Minsk	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Isloch Minsk - Dinamo Brest	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Isloch Minsk	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Isloch Minsk - Slutsk	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Dinamo Minsk - Isloch Minsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWTL
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.11.25	Smorgon - Vitebsk	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Minsk - Smorgon	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Smorgon - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Smorgon - Neman Grodno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.06.25	Smorgon - Isloch Minsk	0:4
05.10.24	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	3:2
16.05.24	Smorgon - Isloch Minsk	1:1
19.08.23	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	1:0
07.04.23	Smorgon - Isloch Minsk	0:4
Club Friendly
11.02.23	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	1:2
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.07.21	Smorgon - Isloch Minsk	1:2

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