Match Info
Brasiliense - Round 9Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Defelé (Brasília)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sobradinho |
|
Brasília |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.26 |
4.85 |
9.4 |
|
 |
1.23 |
5.09 |
9.82 |
|
 |
1.25 |
5 |
10.58 |
 Watch |
 |
1.25 |
4.6 |
13 |
|
 |
1.21 |
5 |
13.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.47) |
4.91 ↑
(3.98) |
11.32 ↑
(5.87) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sobradinho
73.4% | Draw
18.5% | Brasília
8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sobradinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sobradinho's performance.Brasília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasília might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sobradinho than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sobradinho that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasília could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sobradinho - Brasília Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2).Sobradinho has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Brasília is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Sobradinho is considered a favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sobradinho won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).Including home match between the teams, Sobradinho won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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