Match Info

National - Round 18

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Source (Orléans)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
France	FFF TV
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Orleans		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.32	3.2	2.88
	2.41	3.18	3.13
	2.3	3.16	2.93	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.8
	2.3	3.04	2.98	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.36)	3.13 ↑ (2.96)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orleans
39.8%

Draw
29.2%

Sochaux
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

31.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Orleans - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Orleans will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sochaux will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Orleans (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orleans (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Jan C. (G) 28. Luyambula S. 27. Lemaitre M. 8. Giraudon J. 29. Obiang J. 7. Sanchez Da Silva F. 22. Morel J. 10. Khous G. 25. Ba P. I. 11. Berthier G. 9. El Khoumisti F.	30. Pierre A. (G) 26. N'Gatta E. 4. Vitelli A. (C) 14. Peybernes M. 24. Tavares D. 23. Masson J. 6. Mendes E. 10. Fofana B. 15. Mexique J. 28. Boutoutaou A. 9. Djoco K.
Substitutes
3. Baudry M. 17. Bozkurt C. 18. Diako M. 20. Kebe K. . Zahibo W.	5. Baghdadi S. 7. Gomel B. 20. Mendy P. 12. Sidibe A. 19. Vetro J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Jan C. 🟥,
16', Fofana B. (Penalty Awarded),
27', 0 - 1, Djoco K. ⚽, Mendes E. (A),
30', Vitelli A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Mendes E. ⚽, N'Gatta E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Lemaitre M. 🟨,
56', Obiang J. 🟨,
59', Fofana B. 🟨,
63', Fofana B. ↓, Gomel B. ↑,
63', Masson J. ↓, Baghdadi S. ↑,
74', Ba P. I. ↓, Diako M. ↑,
74', Obiang J. ↓, Zahibo W. ↑,
77', Giraudon J. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, El Khoumisti F. ⚽, Sanchez Da Silva F. (A),
88', Djoco K. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
88', Boutoutaou A. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orleans won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Orleans won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Orleans won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Orleans	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Sochaux - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
16.01.26	Fleury 91 - Orleans	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Orleans - Monaco	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Orleans - Dieppe	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 3
12.12.25	Orleans - Versailles	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Quevilly - Orleans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWW
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
16.01.26	Sochaux - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Sochaux - Lens	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Béthune ST - Sochaux	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 3
12.12.25	Valenciennes - Sochaux	Abandoned ✺
05.12.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
15.08.25	Sochaux - Orleans	5:0
28.02.25	Orleans - Sochaux	4:2
27.09.24	Sochaux - Orleans	0:0
27.02.24	Orleans - Sochaux	0:0
25.10.23	Sochaux - Orleans	4:2
French Ligue 2
20.12.19	Orleans - Sochaux	1:0
22.02.19	Orleans - Sochaux	2:0

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