Match Info

National - Round 22

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Caen		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.92	2.68
	2.83	2.88	2.94
	2.63	3.06	2.59	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.7
	2.64	2.74	2.74	Watch
	2.57	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.73)	2.87 ↓ (2.94)	2.74 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
34.5%

Draw
32%

Sochaux
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.1%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

31.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Caen - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sochaux will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochaux (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 19. Botella I. 27. Debohi D. 9. Duville-Parsemain A. 26. Etuin M. 11. Gnanduillet A. 22. Hafid M. 23. Morante L. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 14. Rajot L. 28. Sagnan S.	30. Pierre A. (G) 5. Baghdadi S. 28. Boutoutaou A. 9. Djoco K. 7. Gomel B. 23. Masson J. 15. Mexique J. 26. N'Gatta E. 14. Peybernes M. 24. Tavares D. 4. Vitelli A. (C)
Substitutes
5. Dali Amar B. 7. Diakite A. 12. Mazie O. 24. Milliner L. 2. Vinicius Gomes	6. Bayanginisa H. 10. Fofana B. 3. Gomis D. 12. Sidibe A. 2. Youssouf B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Gomel B. ⚽, Tavares D. (A),
42', Mexique J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Sagnan S. 🟨,
54', Hafid M. ↓, Milliner L. ↑,
54', Duville-Parsemain A. ↓, Mazie O. ↑,
60', Gomel B. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Botella I. ⚽,
69', Djoco K. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
79', Debohi D. ↓, Vinicius Gomes ↑,
80', Boutoutaou A. ↓, Youssouf B. ↑,
80', Tavares D. ↓, Gomis D. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Baghdadi S. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Rajot L. ↓, Dali Amar B. ↑,
88', Etuin M. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
88', Baghdadi S. ↓, Bayanginisa H. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Bayanginisa H. ⚽, Youssouf B. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 1.

In recent matches, Caen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sochaux is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Caen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Caen	9	5	0	4	17:12	5	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
13.02.26	Dijon - Caen	3:3 ✺
06.02.26	Caen - Fleury 91	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Versailles - Caen	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Caen - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Concarneau - Caen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLTT
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
13.02.26	Sochaux - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Stade Briochin - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Sochaux - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Orleans - Sochaux	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Sochaux - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.09.25	Sochaux - Caen	1:1
French Ligue 2
06.03.23	Caen - Sochaux	0:0
20.01.23	Sochaux - Caen	1:2
15.01.22	Sochaux - Caen	3:2
07.08.21	Caen - Sochaux	1:2
24.04.21	Sochaux - Caen	1:0
22.12.20	Caen - Sochaux	1:4

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