Match Info

FNL - Round 26

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday

Location: Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi)

Referee: Zhabchenko A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Sochi		Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.35	Watch
	1.64	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.72)	3.65 ↑ (3.6)	5.28 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
56.4%

Draw
25.8%

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.6%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

26.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sochi - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Users Predictions: Sochi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degtev A. (G) 27. Zaika K. (C) 24. Aberdin N. 4. Litvinov V. 13. Terekhov S. 28. Magal R. 14. Kravtsov K. 21. Saavedra I. 97. Pasevich R. 77. Pisarskiy V. 11. Meleshin P.	1. Antipin S. (G) 3. Tses Y. 5. Emerson 33. Maslovskiy A. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 8. Lomakin A. (C) 7. Chukanov A. 44. Tikhonov M. 22. Kanaplin A. 23. Ushatov K. 75. Okladnikov A.
Substitutes
59. Bart R. 18. Burmistrov N. 8. Kaynov M. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 5. Maslov P. 29. Nikitin K. 1. Rudakov M. (G) 55. Stojsavljevic L. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)	6. Batyrev A. 10. Bavin Y. 20. Belem A. 47. Dolgov A. 90. Gainov M. 49. Kenfak O. 18. Nadolskiy A. 96. Rukas T. 99. Sorokin A. (G) 17. Zazvonkin I.
Coaches
Moreno R.	Tikhonov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Gilyazetdinov A. 🟨,
13', Okladnikov A. 🟨,
33', Gilyazetdinov A. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
40', Meleshin P. 🟨,
44', Ushatov K. 🟨,
45+1', Kenfak O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Magal R. ↓, Maslov P. ↑,
62', Zaika K. ↓, Burmistrov N. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Meleshin P. (Pen),
71', Emerson 🟨,
75', Kanaplin A. 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Pisarskiy V. ⚽,
78', Meleshin P. ↓, Kaynov M. ↑,
79', Chukanov A. ↓, Bavin Y. ↑,
79', Ushatov K. ↓, Batyrev A. ↑,
83', Okladnikov A. ↓, Dolgov A. ↑,
84', Kozhemyakin O. 🟨,
85', Terekhov S. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
85', Pisarskiy V. ↓, Kozhemyakin O. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Dolgov A. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 7).

Recent matches Sochi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yenisey is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Sochi have a series of home games.

In this match Sochi is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sochi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:7 (average 3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sochi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 4.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
23.03.25	Sochi - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Sochi	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Sochi - Ural	1:0 ✺
03.03.25	Sochi - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.25	Sochi - Rubin Kazan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWTL
- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
22.03.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Akhmat Grozny - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
18.08.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sochi	1:0
Club Friendly
10.07.23	Sochi - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	5:2
26.02.19	Sochi - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	4:1
07.02.19	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sochi	3:3

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