Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 3


	Sochi		Rubin Kazan

	1	X	2
	4.14	3.17	2.11
	4.16	3.35	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (4.12)	3.26 ↓ (3.36)	2.07 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
23.4%

Draw
29.8%

Rubin Kazan
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

28.5%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

28.8%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Sochi aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Sochi - Rubin Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rubin will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Dyupin Y. (G) 4. Litvinov V. 33. Marcelo Alves 3. Soldatenkov A. 82. Volkov S. 16. Mukhin M. 19. Kovalenko A. 27. Zaika K. (C) 23. Furtado G. 9. Fedorov Z. 8. Ignatov M.	38. Staver E. (G) 27. Gritsaenko A. 5. Vujacic I. (C) 2. Teslenko E. 12. Arroyo A. 7. Saavedra I. 14. Kuzyaev D. 51. Rozhkov I. 23. Bezrukov R. 11. Gripshi N. 22. Hodza V.
Substitutes
59. Bart R. 35. Degtev A. (G) 29. Ezhov R. 98. Iljin V. 45. Kamano F. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 17. Makarchuk A. 11. Meleshin P. 66. Metsiev A. 85. Silev D. (G) 7. Zinkovskiy A.	18. Apshatsev M. 10. Daku M. 19. Ivanov O. 70. Kabutov D. 1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 44. Kuznetsov D. 98. Lobov N. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 4. Nizhegorodov K. 43. Siwe J. 96. Vasiljev N. 21. Zotov A.
Coaches
Osinkin I.	Artiga F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Bezrukov R. ⚽, Arroyo A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kuzyaev D. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
65', Fedorov Z. ↓, Iljin V. ↑,
65', Furtado G. ↓, Zinkovskiy A. ↑,
68', Bezrukov R. ↓, Daku M. ↑,
70', Kovalenko A. 🟨,
72', Mukhin M. 🟨,
73', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,
75', Mukhin M. ↓, Makarchuk A. ↑,
75', Zaika K. ↓, Kramaric M. ↑,
82', Saavedra I. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
82', Gripshi N. ↓, Kabutov D. ↑,
89', Volkov S. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
90+4', Hodza V. 🟨,
90+5', Daku M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.

Sochi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rubin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Rubin is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sochi: Zaika K. (Red Card)

There will not play in Rubin: Iwu U. (Muscle Injury) Shvets A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Rubin Kazan: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi
Russian Premier League
21.03.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sochi - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.26	Sochi - Bars Karakol	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League
22.03.26	Krylya Sovetov - Rubin Kazan	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rubin Kazan	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.02.26	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
04.08.25	Rubin Kazan - Sochi	2:1
Club Friendly
18.02.25	Sochi - Rubin Kazan	0:2
Russian Premier League
25.05.24	Rubin Kazan - Sochi	1:1
12.11.23	Sochi - Rubin Kazan	0:2
30.04.22	Rubin Kazan - Sochi	0:6
Club Friendly
02.02.22	Rubin Kazan - Sochi	Canceled
Russian Premier League
21.11.21	Sochi - Rubin Kazan	1:2

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