Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 25

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi)

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Sochi		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.65	6.98	Watch
	1.49	3.9	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.42)	3.78 ↓ (4.5)	7.19 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
62%

Draw
24.9%

Shinnik
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

21.3%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochi's form might have worsened.

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sochi - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zabolotnyi N. (C) 4. Litvinov V. 55. Stojsavljevic L. 24. Aberdin N. 28. Magal R. 21. Saavedra I. 14. Kravtsov K. 97. Pasevich R. 8. Kaynov M. 10. Kramaric M. 11. Meleshin P.	1. Oparin M. (G) 53. Kotin N. 89. Zagre B. 27. Chernyi A. 2. Kosogorov A. 70. Kul R. 50. Golubev A. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 8. Sukhomlinov D. 11. Fedorov Z. 38. Aleynikov V.
Substitutes
59. Bart R. 18. Burmistrov N. 83. Kalinov S. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 88. Makarov A. 5. Maslov P. 29. Nikitin K. 77. Pisarskiy V. 1. Rudakov M. (G) 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 13. Terekhov S. 27. Zaika K.	24. Jonathan J. 33. Lavrenkov A. 61. Malakhov A. 18. Miroshnichenko N. 51. Mitrov T. (G) 6. Rukas A. 90. Shakuro P. 7. Ukomskiy A. 5. Zinkov V.
Coaches
Moreno R.	Pobegalov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', Fedorov Z. 🟨,
30', Kramaric M. ↓, Pisarskiy V. ↑,
31', 0 - 1, Zagre B. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Aleynikov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Stojsavljevic L. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
54', Magal R. 🟨,
56', Magal R. ↓, Terekhov S. ↑,
56', Kaynov M. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
73', Pasevich R. ↓, Burmistrov N. ↑,
74', Sukhomlinov D. ↓, Miroshnichenko N. ↑,
80', Kul R. 🟨,
80', Burmistrov N. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Meleshin P. (Pen),
89', Samoilov D. ↓, Shakuro P. ↑,
89', Kul R. ↓, Zinkov V. ↑,
90+5', Fedorov Z. ↓, Ukomskiy A. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 14).

Recent matches Sochi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shinnik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sochi have a series of home games.

In this match Sochi is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sochi won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sochi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
16.03.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Sochi	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Sochi - Ural	1:0 ✺
03.03.25	Sochi - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.25	Sochi - Rubin Kazan	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Sochi - Rotor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTLT
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
15.03.25	Shinnik - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Shinnik - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Rotor - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.11.24	Shinnik - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
04.08.24	Shinnik - Sochi	0:2
Russian Cup
25.09.19	Shinnik - Sochi	1:0 penalties
Russian FNL
19.05.19	Sochi - Shinnik	0:0
28.10.18	Shinnik - Sochi	1:1

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