Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA A WOMEN - APERTURA - ROUND 8

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday


	Social Atlético Televisión		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.5
	1.45	4.5	5
	1.65	3.65	4.9
	1.62	3.84	4.8	Watch
	1.59	3.85	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.51)	3.92 ↓ (4)	4.78 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Social Atlético Televisión
57.7%

Draw
23.2%

El Porvenir
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.7%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

14.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Social Atlético Televisión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Social Atlético Televisión than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Social Atlético Televisión that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Porvenir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 19).

SAT is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Porvenir has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match SAT is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SAT won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams SAT won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Social Atlético Televisión Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
15.04.23	River Plate - Social Atlético Televisión	3:0 ✺
03.04.23	Social Atlético Televisión - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
27.03.23	Belgrano - Social Atlético Televisión	4:0 ✺
17.03.23	Social Atlético Televisión - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0 ✺
10.03.23	Racing - Social Atlético Televisión	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWL
- El Porvenir Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
16.04.23	El Porvenir - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
02.04.23	San Lorenzo de Almagro - El Porvenir	5:0 ✺
28.03.23	El Porvenir - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
20.03.23	Excursionistas - El Porvenir	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	El Porvenir - Independiente	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
10.05.22	El Porvenir - Social Atlético Televisión	0:0
13.09.21	Social Atlético Televisión - El Porvenir	2:3
02.05.21	El Porvenir - Social Atlético Televisión	1:0

Social Atlético Televisión - El Porvenir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide