Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 19

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Socuéllamos		Manchego

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.85	3.11	4.38
	1.77	3.28	4.57
	1.92	3.45	3.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.64)	3.24 ↓ (3.48)	4.21 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Socuéllamos
49.9%

Draw
28.3%

Manchego
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

17.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Socuéllamos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Socuéllamos's form might have worsened.

Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Socuéllamos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Socuéllamos - Manchego Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, Rodriganez M. ⚽,
84', 3 - 0, Arteaga J. T. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 12).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Socuéllamos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Socuéllamos is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Socuéllamos won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Socuéllamos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 3.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
19.01.25	Villarrobledo - Socuéllamos	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Socuéllamos - Villacañas	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Villarrubia - Socuéllamos	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Socuéllamos - Tarancón	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Socuéllamos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLW
- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
18.01.25	Manchego - Villarrubia	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Manchego - Tarancón	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Manchego	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Manchego - Pedroñeras	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Noblejas - Manchego	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.09.24	Manchego - Socuéllamos	1:0
Club Friendly
01.10.20	Manchego - Socuéllamos	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
26.01.20	Manchego - Socuéllamos	1:2
08.09.19	Socuéllamos - Manchego	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
01.10.17	Socuéllamos - Manchego	5:0

Socuéllamos - Manchego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide