Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Socuéllamos		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.75	2.45
	3	2.8	2.45
	2.85	2.8	2.49
	2.98	2.9	2.61
	2.88	3.02	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.89)	2.85 ↓ (2.92)	2.5 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Socuéllamos
31.3%

Draw
32.1%

Real Murcia
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

31%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

22.5%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Socuéllamos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Socuéllamos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Socuéllamos - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Socuéllamos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Murcia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.10.21	Hércules - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Socuéllamos - Eldense	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	La Nucía - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
12.09.21	Socuéllamos - El Ejido	1:3 ✺
04.09.21	Levante B - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTTLL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Real Murcia - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.10.21	Real Murcia - Alzira	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Racing Cartagena MM - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Real Murcia - Intercity	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	Granada B - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWT

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