Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 13

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Bodding A. (Nor)


	Sogndal		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.2	3.2	3.2
	2.24	3.48	3.22
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.16	3.54	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.25)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	3.1 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
42.4%

Draw
27.6%

Fredrikstad
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Sogndal - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sogndal will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sogndal: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fij R. (G) 11. Hoven A. 26. van der Spa A. 4. Arrocha D. 17. Sjolstad M. 15. Nesso K. 10. Skaanes K. 8. Ingimundarson V. 7. Jonsson J. 30. Flataker E. 27. Orjasaeter S.	1. Jensen H. (G) 5. Rafn S. 6. Aukland P. 26. Nielsen M. 3. Skaret B. 4. Molde S. 20. Asheim H. 19. Magnusson J. 16. Konte A. 14. Bjartalid J. 11. Alba R.
Substitutes
99. Diaz A. 13. Flo P. 3. Gueye M. 33. Kalstad A. 9. Kupen E. 23. Nord A. 32. Oren M. 35. Saetren D. (G) 29. Steinset K.	2. Bjorkstrom T. 21. Jansson O. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 10. Lima L. 23. Maden M. 12. Metcalfe P. 24. Williams N.
Coaches
Flo T.	Thomassen M.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Sogndal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Sogndal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.06.23	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Sogndal - Moss	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Sogndal - Start	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Lysekloster - Sogndal	1:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.23	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWWL
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.06.23	Fredrikstad - Start	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Ørn-Horten - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.23	Fredrikstad - Åsane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.08.22	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	5:2
07.07.22	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	1:1
12.09.21	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	2:1
26.05.21	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	1:2
13.08.15	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	1:1
31.05.15	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	2:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.09.12	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	2:1

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