Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 8

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Al Fahad A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play


	Sogndal		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.75	2.38	Watch
	2.68	3.75	2.32	Watch
	2.66	4.02	2.42
	2.68	3.57	2.43	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.63	3.75	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.91)	3.72 ↑ (3.56)	2.36 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sogndal
35.3%

Draw
25.1%

Stabæk
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

26.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.5%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Sogndal - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sogndal will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Stabæk will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stabæk: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jendal L. (G) 32. Oren M. 4. Hovland E. 5. Granheim S. A. 23. Barkarson A. 18. Hagen V. 6. Hoyland M. 16. Vapne L. 10. Skaanes K. (C) 9. Hintsa O. 7. Pedersen S.	22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 15. Veum O. 4. Naess N. (C) 29. Ekorness K. 28. Tobiassen B. 7. Solnordal O. 23. Wendt W. 8. Dahlby M. 24. Hanstad J. 10. Olderheim S.
Substitutes
36. Aroy M. 20. Asp P. 24. Bieszczad K. (G) 2. Bras D. 15. Helen O. 35. Hillestad E. L. 19. Pippola T. 21. Saetren D. (G) 17. Sturgeon F.	20. Boesen O. 16. Hoven A. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 19. Lundemo M. 6. Matic A. 9. Sanyang A. 5. Skjelvik J.
Coaches
Pimenta L.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Vapne L. ⚽, Skaanes K. (A),
7', 2 - 0, Skaanes K. ⚽, Hintsa O. (A),
30', Oren M. 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Dahlby M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Hagen V. ↓, Pippola T. ↑,
54', 2 - 2, Wendt W. ⚽,
61', Olderheim S. 🟨,
65', Solnordal O. 🟨,
67', Hanstad J. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
67', Tobiassen B. ↓, Matic A. ↑,
72', Solnordal O. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
82', Veum O. 🟨,
82', Oren M. ↓, Bras D. ↑,
83', Bras D. 🟨,
90+4', Vapne L. ↓, Helen O. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 1.

Recent performances by Sogndal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stabæk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sogndal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 2.1:1.7).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
14	Sogndal	23	6	5	12	38:53	-15	23

Last Results with these Odds

Sogndal - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.26	Hødd - Sogndal	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Sogndal - Haugesund	5:1 ✺
01.05.26	Bryne - Sogndal	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Sogndal - Åsane	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Strømsgodset - Sogndal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTWL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.26	Stabæk - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Stabæk	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Lyn - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
26.04.26	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Odd - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.03.26	Stabæk - Sogndal	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.08.25	Stabæk - Sogndal	1:2
26.07.25	Sogndal - Stabæk	1:1
28.09.24	Stabæk - Sogndal	2:0
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Stabæk - Sogndal	3:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.06.24	Sogndal - Stabæk	2:3
25.07.22	Sogndal - Stabæk	4:3

Upcoming Matches