Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Sokół Ostróda		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.6
	4.4	3.85	1.6
	4.62	4.11	1.65
	4.65	4.1	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.86)	3.97 ↑ (3.4)	1.61 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Ostróda
20.3%

Draw
23%

Pogoń Siedlce
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26.7%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.1%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Ostróda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Siedlce's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ostróda will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Siedlce: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Ostróda is Relegated to

Ostróda is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pogoń Siedlce is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pogoń Siedlce will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ostróda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ostróda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 2
23.04.22	Hutnik - Sokół Ostróda	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Sokół Ostróda - Śląsk Wrocław 2	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Ruch Chorzów - Sokół Ostróda	3:0 ✺
02.04.22	Sokół Ostróda - Znicz Pruszków	2:2 ✺
26.03.22	Wisła Puławy - Sokół Ostróda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLTL
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
23.04.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Wigry Suwałki	3:2 ✺
15.04.22	KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3 ✺
09.04.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:0 ✺
05.04.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Garbarnia Kraków	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
16.10.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Sokół Ostróda	3:0
Polish Cup
29.09.21	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2
Polish Division 2
31.03.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Sokół Ostróda	2:3
12.09.20	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1

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