Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 30

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	Sokół Sieniawa		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	3.34	3.9	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.75)	3.9 ↓ (4)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 13.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Sieniawa
26.3%

Draw
22.5%

Chełmianka Chełm
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

23%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

22.4%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Sieniawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Sieniawa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Mroczek K. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Kielbasa B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 2, Mroczek K. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sokół Sieniawa won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chełmianka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sokół Sieniawa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Sokół Sieniawa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Sieniawa
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.05.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Sokół Sieniawa	8:0 ✺
03.05.24	Sokół Sieniawa - Garbarnia Kraków	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Wisłoka Dębica - Sokół Sieniawa	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Sokół Sieniawa - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	2:4 ✺
13.04.24	Unia Tarnów - Sokół Sieniawa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWLL
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.05.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Garbarnia Kraków	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Karpaty Krosno	6:0 ✺
20.04.24	Star Starachowice - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.10.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Sokół Sieniawa	3:1
29.03.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Sokół Sieniawa	4:2
14.08.22	Sokół Sieniawa - Chełmianka Chełm	2:1
05.06.22	Sokół Sieniawa - Chełmianka Chełm	1:0
30.10.21	Chełmianka Chełm - Sokół Sieniawa	2:1
03.04.21	Sokół Sieniawa - Chełmianka Chełm	0:1
26.08.20	Chełmianka Chełm - Sokół Sieniawa	1:1

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