Match Info

FNL - Round 31

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Saratov)

Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Sokol Saratov		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	3.03
	2.58	2.96	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.46)	2.98 ↓ (3.02)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Saratov
36.3%

Draw
31.9%

Tyumen
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

31.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Sokol Saratov - Tyumen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kraykov T. (G) 23. Churikov I. 69. Ermolin R. 5. Kovacevic V. 18. Lepskii I. 27. Molodtsov A. (C) 9. Shpitalnyi V. 51. Sinyak A. 19. Vukic S. 22. Yuzepchuk R. 28. Zabelin P.	1. Dovgal A. (G) 72. Bem A. 65. Gulko I. 34. Khramtsov M. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 23. Korotkov A. 6. Pechenkin N. 13. Petrov M. 5. Poroykov S. 85. Pyatkin I. 30. Shavlokhov D.
Substitutes
11. Babaev V. 57. Begun D. 10. Gurtsiev B. 13. Ivanov D. 8. Kantaria G. 92. Karpitskiy E. 36. Levashov M. (G) 7. Porokhov I.	97. Goshev E. (G) 90. Mokaev I. 10. Savinov A. 14. Shukurov A. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.
Coaches
Kascelan M.	Menshchikov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Poroykov S. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
63', Ermolin R. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
63', Lepskii I. ↓, Babaev V. ↑,
63', Yuzepchuk R. ↓, Begun D. ↑,
68', Shpitalnyi V. 🟨,
74', Sinyak A. ↓, Kantaria G. ↑,
78', Korotaev A. ↓, Savinov A. ↑,
78', Gulko I. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
84', Churikov I. ↓, Gurtsiev B. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Gurtsiev B. ⚽,
90+2', Gurtsiev B. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 3.

Sokol Saratov has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Tyumen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Tyumen has had a series of home games.

Sokol Saratov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sokol Saratov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Sokol Saratov - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.34%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
27.04.25	Sokol Saratov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Sokol Saratov	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Arsenal Tula - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sokol Saratov - Ural	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LTLLT
- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
27.04.25	Tyumen - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Rotor - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tyumen - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Tyumen - Ufa	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Tyumen - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.09.24	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	0:1
12.05.24	Sokol Saratov - Tyumen	2:1
05.11.23	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	2:0
29.04.17	Sokol Saratov - Tyumen	1:0
08.10.16	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	1:1
21.05.16	Sokol Saratov - Tyumen	0:1
11.07.15	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	1:2

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