Match Info

FNL - Round 30

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)

Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Tyumen		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	2.77	2.88	2.97
	2.68	3.02	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.57)	2.95 ↓ (3)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumen
34.8%

Draw
32.2%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

32.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Tyumen - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dovgal A. (G) 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 65. Gulko I. 34. Khramtsov M. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 23. Korotkov A. 6. Pechenkin N. 5. Poroykov S. 85. Pyatkin I. 30. Shavlokhov D. 17. Shitov V.	1. Golubev A. (G) 29. Denisov R. 99. Emelyanov D. 24. Kakhidze A. 8. Laykin M. 10. Magomedov R. 9. Morozov K. 15. Nikitin A. 12. Shiryaev M. 2. Sitdikov M. (C) 5. Zorin B.
Substitutes
72. Bem A. 97. Goshev E. (G) 18. Grigorjev D. 11. Karpov D. 90. Mokaev I. 13. Petrov M. 10. Savinov A. 14. Shukurov A. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.	11. Aliev S. 27. Budylin A. 97. Filipovsky M. 4. Malyarov K. 32. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 6. Rodin D. 65. Tolstopyatov N. 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Coaches
Menshchikov I.	Novikov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Zorin B. ↓, Tolstopyatov N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kakhidze A. ↓, Valiakhmetov E. ↑,
60', Bezchasnyuk A. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
71', Poroykov S. ↓, Bem A. ↑,
71', Shitov V. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
77', Laykin M. ↓, Budylin A. ↑,
77', Magomedov R. ↓, Rodin D. ↑,
82', Nikitin A. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
83', Korotaev A. ↓, Savinov A. ↑,
83', Gulko I. ↓, Karpov D. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Karpov D. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Neftekhimik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
20.04.25	Rotor - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tyumen - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Tyumen - Ufa	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Tyumen - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	KAMAZ - Tyumen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWTLW
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
19.04.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
11.04.25	Ural - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
14.07.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Tyumen	3:0
20.04.24	Tyumen - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3
28.10.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Tyumen	0:2
10.05.17	Tyumen - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0
22.10.16	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Tyumen	0:1
Club Friendly
27.06.16	Tyumen - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2

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