Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.50	2.95
	1.98	3.35	3.15
	1.97	3.65	3.2
	1.96	3.61	3.28	Watch
	1.87	3.35	3.1
	1.98	3.42	3.29	Watch
	2.47	3.39	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.47)	3.47 ↑ (3.39)	3.04 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
44.4%

Draw
26%

Star Starachowice
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.1%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

25.4%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna's performance.

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Star Starachowice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Star Starachowice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Star Starachowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kolbuszowa Dolna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Kolbuszowa Dolna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Kolbuszowa Dolna	11	2	7	2	12:12	0	13
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13:17	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Star Starachowice - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.08.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Wieczysta II - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Wisłoka Dębica	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWTLL
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Star Starachowice - Busko-Zdrój	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Hetman Zamość - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Star Starachowice - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.04.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Star Starachowice	1:2
04.10.25	Star Starachowice - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0

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