Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Sokół Ostróda		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.35
	6.5	4.4	1.3
	7	4.4	1.35
	7.78	4.39	1.41
	7.5	4.75	1.3
	7.3	4.45	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (4.5)	4.45 ↑ (4.3)	1.35 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Ostróda
12.6%

Draw
20.3%

Motor Lublin
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

20.9%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

13.4%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Ostróda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sokół Ostróda's form might have worsened.

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motor Lublin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sokół Ostróda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-29.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motor Lublin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sokół Ostróda - Motor Lublin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Ostróda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Motor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Motor is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ostróda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ostróda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 2
16.10.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Sokół Ostróda	3:0 ✺
09.10.21	Sokół Ostróda - Hutnik	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Sokół Ostróda	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
29.09.21	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
25.09.21	Sokół Ostróda - Ruch Chorzów	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWTLL
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 2
16.10.21	Motor Lublin - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	KKS Kalisz - Motor Lublin	0:0 ✺
02.10.21	Motor Lublin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
22.09.21	Motor Lublin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
08.05.21	Motor Lublin - Sokół Ostróda	4:1
14.11.20	Sokół Ostróda - Motor Lublin	1:0

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