Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Pogoń Siedlce		Sokół Ostróda

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.33
	1.56	3.75	4.35
	1.68	3.5	4.3
	1.74	3.53	4.87
	1.5	4	5
	1.69	3.74	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.4)	3.67 ↓ (4.9)	4.54 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
55.4%

Draw
24.7%

Sokół Ostróda
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

18.8%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.8%

15.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Siedlce's form might have worsened.

Sokół Ostróda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sokół Ostróda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pogoń Siedlce - Sokół Ostróda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Pogoń Siedlce is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ostróda is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pogoń Siedlce is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
09.10.21	Wigry Suwałki - Pogoń Siedlce	5:0 ✺
03.10.21	Pogoń Siedlce - KKS Kalisz	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
29.09.21	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
26.09.21	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0 ✺
19.09.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL
- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 2
09.10.21	Sokół Ostróda - Hutnik	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Sokół Ostróda	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
29.09.21	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
25.09.21	Sokół Ostróda - Ruch Chorzów	1:3 ✺
18.09.21	Znicz Pruszków - Sokół Ostróda	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
29.09.21	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2
Polish Division 2
31.03.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Sokół Ostróda	2:3
12.09.20	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1

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