Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 30

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday


	Sokół Ostróda		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.47
	5	4.25	1.47
	4.95	4.25	1.48
	5.5	4.45	1.47	Watch
	4.65	4.2	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↓ (5.3)	4.27 ↑ (4.1)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Ostróda
18%

Draw
21.1%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

22.2%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

21.4%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Ostróda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+2%)

Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Ostróda has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ostróda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ostróda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.05.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Ostróda	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Sokół Ostróda - Legionovia Legionowo	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Unia Skierniewice - Sokół Ostróda	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Sokół Ostróda - ŁKS Łódź II	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Concordia Elbląg - Sokół Ostróda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
13.05.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Błonianka Błonie	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.10.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	1:2
Polish Division 2
20.11.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	1:3
31.07.21	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.08.19	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	1:2

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