Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Sol de América		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.61
	5	3.6	1.66	Watch
	5.42	3.66	1.67
	5.01	3.57	1.71	Watch
	5.19	3.59	1.67	Watch
	5	3.6	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↓ (5.52)	3.62 ↓ (3.68)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América
18.5%

Draw
25.7%

Cerro Porteño
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

25.3%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

24%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Sol de América - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortiz G. (G) 14. Diaz F. 2. Gimenez G. 5. Garcia R. (C) 17. Ojeda J. 29. Cabrera L. 11. Ortiz L. 7. Valdez D. 18. Orue D. 25. Diaz F. 8. Amarilla C.	13. Jean (G) 30. Nunez A. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 24. Baez C. 37. Leon D. 22. Rodriguez D. 7. Gimenez E. 26. Piris R. 17. Aguayo G. 8. Carrizo F. (C) 9. Da Costa F.
Substitutes
31. Acosta M. 33. Banegas J. F. 21. Barrios V. 15. Benites K. 32. Caceres E. 40. Dietze S. 16. Gimenez A. 22. Gonzalez M. 6. Jorge J. 36. Medina B. (G) 23. Quintana B. 19. Roa R.	21. Araujo S. 2. Benitez A. 6. Carrascal R. 35. De Jesus R. 19. Diego Churin 4. Eduardo Brock 28. Farina A. 40. Fernandez F. 1. Martin A. (G) 15. Melgarejo R. 5. Morel J. 36. Olmedo L.
Coaches
Torres R.	Jara C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Da Costa F. ⚽, Carrizo F. (A),
24', Ortiz L. 🟨,
45', Valdez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Gimenez E. 🟨,
54', Ojeda J. 🟨,
54', Da Costa F. 🟨,
64', Amarilla C. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
64', Cabrera L. ↓, Dietze S. ↑,
70', Dietze S. 🟨,
72', Da Costa F. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
72', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Melgarejo R. ↑,
78', Valdez D. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
78', Diaz F. ↓, Roa R. ↑,
78', Carrizo F. ↓, Farina A. ↑,
79', Rodriguez D. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
79', Piris R. ↓, Carrascal R. ↑,
86', Ojeda J. ↓, Banegas J. F. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sol de América won 1.

Sol de América is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sol de América could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sol de América have a series of guest games.

In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sol de América won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 11:38 (average 0.6:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sol de América won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4:14 (average 0.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.10.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
09.10.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.10.24	General Caballero JLM - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Sol de América - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1 ✺
23.09.24	2 de Mayo - Sol de América	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 TWTTW
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.10.24	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
09.10.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.10.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo	0:3 ✺
21.09.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Paraguay
09.10.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	1:2
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.08.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	1:0
19.05.24	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	0:3
24.02.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	0:0
30.09.22	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	0:1
24.07.22	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	2:0
14.05.22	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	2:1

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