Match Info

Copa Paraguay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Cerro Porteño		General Caballero JLM

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.48	3.95	5.5	Watch
	1.54	4.13	5.6
	1.54	4.18	5.52	Watch
	1.48	3.94	5.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)	4.05 ↑ (4)	5.63 ↓ (6.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
60.9%

Draw
22.7%

General Caballero JLM
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.2%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

22%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

General Caballero JLM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). General Caballero will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. General Caballero (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Fernandez R. (G) 31. Aliseda I. 21. Araujo S. 10. Dominguez C. 33. Gomez R. 5. Morel J. 22. Perez M. 27. Torres J. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 20. Viera W. 36. Zarate C.	1. Guillen L. (G) 25. Aguilera A. D. 10. Arce S. (C) 28. Franco J. 29. Gimenez O. 9. Gonzalez C. 16. Gonzalez J. 6. Mareco M. 4. Molinas G. 14. Rodas A. 8. Torales S.
Substitutes
8. Carrizo F. 2. Dominguez F. 11. Iturbe J. 1. Martin A. (G) 16. Peralta F. 28. Portillo Avalos T. G. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A.	18. Armoa J. 22. Baigorria A. 24. Espinola G. 27. Fernandez E. 20. Rojas M. 21. Schabus M. 12. Tales (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟨,
61', Viera W. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
61', Araujo S. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
64', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
74', Gomez R. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
80', 🟨,
84', Dominguez C. ↓, Portillo Avalos T. G. ↑,
84', Morel J. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
88', 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Perez M. (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, Aliseda I. (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, Dominguez F. (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 4.

Cerro Porteño is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, General Caballero has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cerro Porteño is the team to beat.

We predict that Cerro Porteño will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 2.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.10.25	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
07.10.25	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.10.25	Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWWW
- General Caballero JLM
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.10.25	General Caballero JLM - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
10.10.25	Sportivo Trinidense - General Caballero JLM	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	2 de Mayo - General Caballero JLM	2:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
24.09.25	Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
13.09.25	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	2:1
05.07.25	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	3:1
16.05.25	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	2:1
09.03.25	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	0:1
13.10.24	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	2:1
08.08.24	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	2:1
28.04.24	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	4:0

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