Match Info

Copa Paraguay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Cerro Porteño		Sol de América

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.48	3.85	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4	5.2
	1.32	5.64	7.54	Watch
	1.45	3.98	6.33	Watch
	1.48	3.02	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	4.1 ↑ (3.02)	6.37 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
63.3%

Draw
22.3%

Sol de América
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

28.9%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

28%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sol de América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerro Porteño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cerro Porteño - Sol de América Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cerro Porteño (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Torres J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 3.

Cerro Porteño is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sol de América is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sol de América may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cerro Porteño is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:9. (average 1.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.10.25	Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Cerro Porteño - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWTL
- Sol de América
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.10.25	Sol de América - Encarnación	3:1 ✺
29.09.25	12 de Junio - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
22.09.25	Sol de América - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Guarani de Fram - Sol de América	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Sol de América - River Plate Asunción	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
20.10.24	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	0:1
Copa Paraguay
09.10.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	1:2
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.08.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	1:0
19.05.24	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	0:3
24.02.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	0:0
30.09.22	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	0:1
24.07.22	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	2:0

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