Match Info

Date: 15 November 2020, Sunday


	Sol de América		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3	2.55
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.55	3.1	2.65
	2.69	3.26	2.81
	2.8	3.1	2.5
	2.58	3.34	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.41)	3.11 ↓ (3.11)	2.6 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América
34.7%

Draw
29.7%

River Plate Montevideo
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.9%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

22.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sol de América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	20%	53.3%

Sol de América - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sol de América will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). River Plate will win (votes: 16 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 35.4% – 71.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sol de América won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Sol de América won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.11.20	Sol de América - Olimpia Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.11.20	Universidad Católica - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.11.20	Sol de América - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.10.20	Sol de América - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.10.20	Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLTTW
- River Plate Montevideo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.11.20	Godoy Cruz - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaireña	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.11.20	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
09.08.20	Sol de América - River Plate Montevideo	0:0
17.01.20	River Plate Montevideo - Sol de América	3:0
06.10.19	Sol de América - River Plate Montevideo	1:0
21.07.19	River Plate Montevideo - Sol de América	2:2
08.04.19	Sol de América - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
05.02.19	River Plate Montevideo - Sol de América	1:0
10.12.16	River Plate Montevideo - Sol de América	2:4

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