Match Info

Date: 8 April 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	River Plate Montevideo		Guaireña

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.3	3.15	2.1
	3.15	3.05	2.15
	3.42	3.22	2.26
	3.3	3.2	2.2
	3.24	3.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.52)	3.2 ↑ (3.19)	2.15 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
28.1%

Draw
28.9%

Guaireña
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

22.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guaireña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaireña could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

River Plate Montevideo - Guaireña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Guaireña have a series of home games.

Guaireña will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.21	River Plate Montevideo - Progreso	3:2 ✺
26.03.21	Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
20.03.21	River Plate Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.03.21	Guaireña - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.03.21	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTWL
- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.04.21	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
22.03.21	Guaireña - Sol de América	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.03.21	Guaireña - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.03.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	0:3 ✺
09.03.21	Guaireña - 12 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
18.03.21	Guaireña - River Plate Montevideo	1:2
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaireña	1:2
12.08.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaireña	2:1
25.01.20	Guaireña - River Plate Montevideo	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.11.26	River Plate Montevideo - Tacuarembó	✺

River Plate Montevideo - Guaireña